← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, May 11, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: R. Hempel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Greuther Furth win | 31% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Lars Gindorf · Hannover |
| 33' | ⚽ | Noel Futkeu · Greuther Furth |
| 49' | 🟨 | Hyun-ju Lee · Hannover |
| 57' | 🟨 | Maximilian Dietz · Greuther Furth |
| 61' | 🟨 | Enzo Leopold · Hannover |
| 76' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 83' | 🟨 | Bartłomiej Wdowik · Hannover |
| 86' | ⚽ | Phil Neumann · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days |
| 40.00 |
| 10.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1472.38 | 1383.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.30 | -29.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.62 |
| league points | 49.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.37 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |