← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, May 10, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Magdeburg win | 24% | 4.03 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.42 |
| Under | 33% | 2.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Martijn Kaars · Magdeburg |
| 41' | ⚽ | Calvin Brackelmann · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · Magdeburg |
| 61' | ⚽ | Felix Götze · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 72' | 🟨 | Alexander Ahl Holmstrom · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| coach days |
| 1409.00 |
| 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1535.56 | 1485.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.55 | -20.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.86 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.66 |
| league points | 56.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | 1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | 1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |