← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, May 10, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 52% | 1.85 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 25% | 3.90 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| FC Schalke 04 −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.45 |
| Under | 34% | 2.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 35' | 🟨 | Jamil Siebert · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 47' | 🟨 | Derry Murkin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 57' | ⚽ | Dawid Kownacki · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 77' | ⚽ | Myron Van Brederode · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| coach days |
| 1194.00 |
| 9.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1523.90 | 1431.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.34 | -33.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 51.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 26.69 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |