← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, May 4, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Stieler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Louey Ben Farhat · Karlsruhe |
| 31' | ⚽ | Jan Elvedi · Kaiserslautern |
| 58' | ⚽ | Sebastian Jung · Karlsruhe |
| 64' | ⚽ | Daniel Hanslik · Kaiserslautern |
| 73' | 🟨 | Tobias Raschl · Kaiserslautern |
| 89' | 🟨 | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 15 |
| 8 | On target | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days |
| 1919.00 |
| 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1493.07 | 1463.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.08 | -18.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.73 |
| league points | 51.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |