← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 27, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Schlager
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 52% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.08 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 24% | 4.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| FC Schalke 04 −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under | 36% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Daisuke Yokota · Kaiserslautern |
| 55' | 🟨 | Frank Ronstadt · Kaiserslautern |
| 61' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · FC Schalke 04 |
| 77' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Kaiserslautern |
| 81' | 🟨 | Derry Murkin · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| coach days |
| 26.00 |
| 208.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1455.63 | 1454.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.64 | -21.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.68 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.71 |
| league points | 47.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.75 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.69 |
| state index | -0.64 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |