← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 27, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Gansloweit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Hannover win | 25% | 3.78 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.86 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| 1. FC Köln +0.5 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Leart Paqarada · 1. FC Köln |
| 48' | 🟨 | Phil Neumann · Hannover |
| 50' | 🟨 | Leart Paqarada · 1. FC Köln |
| 50' | 🟥 | Leart Paqarada · 1. FC Köln |
| 56' | 🟨 | Max Finkgräfe · 1. FC Köln |
| 57' | ⚽ | Lars Gindorf · Hannover |
| 62' | 🟨 | Brooklyn Ezeh · Hannover |
| 77' | 🟨 | Ron-Robert Zieler · Hannover |
| 77' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 82' | 🟨 | Dominique Heintz · 1. FC Köln |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marcel Halstenberg · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days |
| 26.00 |
| 300.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1449.81 | 1563.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -58.64 | 6.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| league points | 43.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | — | 25.50 |
| state index | -1.06 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |