← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 26, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: L. Erbst
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 39% | 2.54 |
| Regensburg win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Regensburg +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Robin Ziegele · Regensburg |
| 6' | ⚽ | Jannis Nikolaou · Braunschweig |
| 26' | 🟨 | Jannis Nikolaou · Braunschweig |
| 58' | 🟨 | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
| 89' | 🟨 | Levente Szabó · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days |
| 207.00 |
| 542.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1303.73 | 1403.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.82 | 39.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.87 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| league points | 25.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 35.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.63 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.88 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.63 | -0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |