← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 25, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Schwengers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Magdeburg win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Hertha −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 69% | 1.39 |
| Under | 31% | 3.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · Magdeburg |
| 44' | ⚽ | Lubambo Musonda · Magdeburg |
| 45' | ⚽ | Linus Gechter · Hertha |
| 55' | 🟨 | Márton Dárdai · Hertha |
| 56' | 🟨 | Michaël Cuisance · Hertha |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson · Hertha |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dominik Reimann · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Olympiastadion Berlin |
| coach days |
| 83.00 |
| 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 3.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1451.85 | 1513.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 60.65 | -7.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| league points | 39.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.08 | — |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | 0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |