← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 20, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Aytekin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 68% | 1.38 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.44 |
| Regensburg win | 13% | 7.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −1.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Magdeburg −1.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.51 |
| Under | 36% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Tim Handwerker · Regensburg |
| 17' | 🟨 | Livan Burcu · Magdeburg |
| 28' | ⚽ | Martijn Kaars · Magdeburg |
| 51' | ⚽ | Abu-Bekir Ömer El-Zein · Magdeburg |
| 72' | ⚽ | Philipp Hercher · Magdeburg |
| 76' | 🟨 | Robin Ziegele · Regensburg |
| 85' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Avnet Arena |
| coach days |
| 109.00 |
| 201.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.35 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1507.25 | 1310.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.44 | 14.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | 0.70 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| league points | 50.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 37.20 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | -1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| state index | -0.11 | -1.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.01 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |