← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 20, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Greuther Furth win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Greuther Furth +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Dženis Burnić · Karlsruhe |
| 68' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Karlsruhe |
| 75' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 76' | 🟨 | Maximilian Dietz · Greuther Furth |
| 79' | 🟨 | Felix Klaus · Greuther Furth |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days |
| 1905.00 |
| 109.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1472.21 | 1407.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.66 | -18.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 64.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.60 |
| league points | 45.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |