← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 13, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: W. Haslberger
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
| Regensburg win | 23% | 4.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Regensburg +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Christian Kühlwetter · Regensburg |
| 24' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 32' | 🟨 | Taylan Bulut · FC Schalke 04 |
| 34' | 🟨 | Mehmet Aydin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 72' | 🟨 | Aymen Barkok · FC Schalke 04 |
| 89' | 🟨 | Julian Pollersbeck · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nico Ochojski · Regensburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dejan Galjen · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days |
| 194.00 |
| 194.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1290.17 | 1472.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.93 | 14.44 |
| eye test v1 | -1.05 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| league points | 22.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.93 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.69 |
| state index | -1.11 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.65 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |