← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Schröder
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.16 |
| Nurnberg win | 23% | 4.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Fabio Gruber · Nurnberg |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jens Castrop · Nurnberg |
| 68' | ⚽ | Mahir Emreli · Nurnberg |
| 70' | 🟨 | Mahir Emreli · Nurnberg |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 83' | 🟨 | Lukas Schleimer · Nurnberg |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jan Reichert · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maximilian Bauer · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Filip Kaloč · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Janni Serra · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 5 |
| 12 | On target | 3 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| coach days |
| 11.00 |
| 315.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1484.85 | 1431.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.08 | -10.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 47.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 7.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |