← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: T. Gansloweit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 46% | 2.08 |
| Darmstadt win | 28% | 3.52 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Hertha −0.5 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Killian Corredor · Darmstadt |
| 31' | 🟨 | Philipp Förster · Darmstadt |
| 48' | ⚽ | Isac Lidberg · Darmstadt |
| 62' | ⚽ (og) | Aleksandar Vukotić · Hertha |
| 71' | 🟨 | Diego Demme · Hertha |
| 78' | 🟨 | Clemens Riedel · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Maza · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Olympiastadion Berlin |
| coach days |
| 70.00 |
| 223.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1442.27 | 1429.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.88 | 2.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | 1.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| league points | 35.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 6.69 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 25.08 | — |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |