← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 11, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Brych
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 68% | 1.39 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.36 |
| Braunschweig win | 13% | 7.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −1.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Hamburger SV −1.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.41 |
| Under | 32% | 3.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Leon Bell Bell · Braunschweig |
| 41' | ⚽ (og) | Silvan Hefti · Braunschweig |
| 44' | 🟨 | Sven Köhler · Braunschweig |
| 48' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Braunschweig |
| 57' | 🟨 | Paul Jaeckel · Braunschweig |
| 60' | 🟨 | Daniel Elfadli · Hamburger SV |
| 69' | 🟨 | Łukasz Poręba · Hamburger SV |
| 74' | 🟨 | Lino Tempelmann · Braunschweig |
| 74' | ⚽ | Davie Selke · Hamburger SV |
| 84' | ⚽ | Julian Baas · Braunschweig |
| 85' | ⚽ | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| 88' | 🟨 | Immanuel Pherai · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | ⚽ | Davie Selke · Hamburger SV |
| coach days |
| 161.00 |
| 527.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1606.28 | 1361.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.28 | 3.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.99 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| league points | 53.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.36 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.89 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |