← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 4, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Schwengers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.81 |
| Braunschweig win | 22% | 4.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig +0.75 | 53% | 1.82 |
| SC Paderborn 07 +0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Filip Bilbija · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 30' | 🟨 | Jannis Nikolaou · Braunschweig |
| 37' | 🟨 | Marcel Hoffmeier · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 44' | ⚽ | Richmond Tachie · Braunschweig |
| 47' | ⚽ | Adriano Grimaldi · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 71' | ⚽ | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
| 72' | 🟨 | Filip Bilbija · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 78' | ⚽ | Leon Bell Bell · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 20 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days |
| 520.00 |
| 1373.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1347.87 | 1540.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.57 | 9.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 47.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.65 |
| league points | 24.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| state index | -1.07 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |