← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 22, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Jablonski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Karlsruhe win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Magdeburg +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.48 |
| Under | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 36' | 🟨 | Robin Heußer · Karlsruhe |
| 45' | ⚽ | Nicolai Rapp · Karlsruhe |
| 48' | ⚽ | Christoph Kobald · Karlsruhe |
| 69' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 71' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 88' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bryan Silva Teixeira · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟥 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1848.00 | 52.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1473.87 | 1526.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.75 | 60.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | 1.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 48.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 2.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| league points | 34.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.60 |
| state index | -0.86 | 0.91 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |