← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 16, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Karlsruhe win | 26% | 3.92 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Janik Bachmann · FC Schalke 04 |
| 25' | ⚽ | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
| 34' | ⚽ | Pape Meissa Ba · FC Schalke 04 |
| 78' | 🟨 | Dženis Burnić · Karlsruhe |
| 87' | 🟨 | Adrian Gantenbein · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| coach days | 138.00 | 1842.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1463.92 | 1482.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.57 | -45.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| league points | 27.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.70 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.69 | — |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |