← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 41% | 2.34 |
| Hertha win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Fabian Reese · Hertha |
| 55' | ⚽ | Dženan Pejčinović · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jamil Siebert · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 58' | ⚽ | Dženan Pejčinović · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| coach days | 1110.00 | 14.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.28 | 3.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1538.63 | 1431.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.68 | -22.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 34.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.08 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |