← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Braunschweig win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Braunschweig +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Marco Thiede · Darmstadt |
| 42' | 🟨 | Matondo-Merveille Papela · Darmstadt |
| 45' | 🟨 | Lino Tempelmann · Braunschweig |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jean-Paul Boëtius · Darmstadt |
| 60' | ⚽ | Lino Tempelmann · Braunschweig |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jean-Paul Boëtius · Darmstadt |
| 62' | 🟥 | Jean-Paul Boëtius · Darmstadt |
| 86' | 🟨 | Julian Baas · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabio Di Michele Sanchez · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcel Schuhen · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| Matej Maglica · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Clemens Riedel · Darmstadt |
| coach days | 472.00 | 167.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1361.42 | 1422.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.47 | -57.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 49.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.73 |
| league points | 18.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.40 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.49 | -1.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |