← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 14, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Exner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 42% | 2.27 |
| 1. FC Köln win | 31% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Jan Thielmann · 1. FC Köln |
| 72' | 🟨 | Max Finkgräfe · 1. FC Köln |
| 73' | ⚽ | Daniel Heber · Magdeburg |
| 79' | ⚽ | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Samuel Loric · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 14 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Avnet Arena |
| coach days | 44.00 | 228.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1508.75 | 1579.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.09 | 14.92 |
| eye test v1 | 2.10 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.80 | 48.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.81 |
| league points | 39.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.54 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 25.50 |
| state index | 0.22 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |