← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 9, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Weisbach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 |
| Braunschweig win | 23% | 4.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Max Weiss · Karlsruhe |
| 30' | 🟨 | Mohamed Dräger · Braunschweig |
| 36' | ⚽ (pen) | Levente Szabó · Braunschweig |
| 48' | 🟨 | Fabio Di Michele Sanchez · Braunschweig |
| 74' | ⚽ | Lino Tempelmann · Braunschweig |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ermin Bičakčić · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 28 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1835.00 | 466.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1506.35 | 1337.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.96 | -30.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| league points | 34.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| state index | -0.54 | -1.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |