← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 9, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Welz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 51% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 24% | 4.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| FC Schalke 04 −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Joel Schmied · 1. FC Köln |
| 39' | 🟨 | Mathias Olesen · 1. FC Köln |
| 43' | ⚽ | Damion Downs · 1. FC Köln |
| 72' | 🟨 | Damion Downs · 1. FC Köln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Köln | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | RheinEnergieSTADION |
| coach days | 223.00 | 131.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1573.86 | 1469.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.60 | 9.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 65.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.71 |
| league points | 41.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.50 | 26.69 |
| state index | 0.58 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |