← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 7, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 50% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Regensburg win | 23% | 4.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Regensburg −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
| 31' | ⚽ | Jomaine Consbruch · Greuther Furth |
| 37' | ⚽ | Dennis Srbeny · Greuther Furth |
| 64' | 🟨 | Noah Loosli · Greuther Furth |
| 77' | 🟨 | Robin Ziegele · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Felix Gebhardt · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Louis Breunig · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 37.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1410.44 | 1305.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.37 | 14.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.65 |
| league points | 24.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 38.60 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | -1.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -1.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |