← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Magdeburg win | 32% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| FC Schalke 04 −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.62 |
| Under | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Max Grüger · FC Schalke 04 |
| 29' | ⚽ | Martijn Kaars · Magdeburg |
| 36' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mehmet Aydin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 45' | ⚽ | Martijn Kaars · Magdeburg |
| 55' | ⚽ | Martijn Kaars · Magdeburg |
| 60' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · Magdeburg |
| 64' | 🟨 | Adrian Gantenbein · FC Schalke 04 |
| 65' | ⚽ | Philipp Hercher · Magdeburg |
| 69' | ⚽ | Adrian Gantenbein · FC Schalke 04 |
| 74' | ⚽ | Martijn Kaars · Magdeburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Janik Bachmann · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 18 |
| 9 | On target | 11 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| coach days |
| 123.00 |
| 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 4.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1489.31 | 1503.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 56.59 | 63.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.86 | 1.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.00 | 46.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| league points | 27.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 62.20 |
| rest days | 7.31 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | 1.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 8.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 26.69 | — |
| state index | 0.71 | 0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |