← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Erbst
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
| Braunschweig win | 23% | 4.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Braunschweig +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Ermin Bičakčić · Braunschweig |
| 13' | ⚽ | Eric Martel · 1. FC Köln |
| 30' | ⚽ | Damion Downs · 1. FC Köln |
| 34' | 🟨 | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
| 44' | 🟨 | Timo Hübers · 1. FC Köln |
| 46' | 🟨 | Leart Paqarada · 1. FC Köln |
| 60' | 🟨 | Johan Arath Gomez · Braunschweig |
| 79' | 🟨 | Sven Köhler · Braunschweig |
| 81' | 🟨 | Sanoussy Ba · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.82 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 458.00 | 215.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1343.35 | 1568.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.89 | 19.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.75 |
| league points | 15.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.87 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 25.50 |
| state index | -1.22 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |