← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Nurnberg win | 32% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| FC Schalke 04 −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
| 15' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · FC Schalke 04 |
| 17' | ⚽ | Stefanos Tzimas · Nurnberg |
| 44' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 3 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| coach days |
| 116.00 |
| 238.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1479.56 | 1412.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 69.96 | 0.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.96 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.90 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| league points | 24.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | 1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 6.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.69 | — |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |