← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Haslberger
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Myron Van Brederode · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 8' | ⚽ | Mikkel Kaufmann · Karlsruhe |
| 20' | 🟨 | Dženis Burnić · Karlsruhe |
| 22' | ⚽ | Robin Heußer · Karlsruhe |
| 26' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 47' | ⚽ | Dženan Pejčinović · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 48' | 🟨 | Valgeir Lunddal · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 57' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 80' | 🟨 | Max Weiss · Karlsruhe |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Dawid Kownacki · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| Dawid Kownacki · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dawid Kownacki · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 3.60 |
| coach days | 1820.00 | 1089.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1516.62 | 1520.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.38 | -23.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.52 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| league points | 32.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 7.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |