← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 24, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.75 |
| Braunschweig win | 16% | 6.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −1.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Magdeburg −1.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 35' | 🟨 | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
| 42' | 🟨 | Paul Jaeckel · Braunschweig |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | Lino Tempelmann · Braunschweig |
| 73' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 76' | 🟨 | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
| 82' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Avnet Arena |
| coach days | 23.00 | 450.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.08 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1509.33 | 1337.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 81.54 | -39.75 |
| eye test v1 | 1.00 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.55 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.70 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| league points | 35.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 0.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.34 | -0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.40 |
| state index | 0.73 | -1.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |