← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 22, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Schlager
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Hertha win | 29% | 3.45 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Hertha −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Deyovaisio Zeefuik · Hertha |
| 23' | 🟨 | Enzo Leopold · Hannover |
| 30' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 36' | 🟨 | Tjark Ernst · Hertha |
| 42' | 🟨 | Márton Dárdai · Hertha |
| 57' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 57' | 🟥 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 89' | 🟨 | Márton Dárdai · Hertha |
| 89' | 🟥 | Márton Dárdai · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 17 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 21.00 | 204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1485.73 | 1454.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.91 | -20.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| league points | 26.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.08 |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |