← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 21, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Schwengers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 57% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.24 |
| Braunschweig win | 20% | 4.98 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Sven Köhler · Braunschweig |
| 45' | 🟨 | Christian Joe Conteh · Braunschweig |
| 49' | ⚽ | Stefanos Tzimas · Nurnberg |
| 59' | 🟨 | Christian Joe Conteh · Braunschweig |
| 59' | 🟥 | Christian Joe Conteh · Braunschweig |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jens Castrop · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 203.00 | 416.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1393.66 | 1341.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.32 | -46.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.55 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| league points | 19.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 0.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.90 | -1.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |