← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Dec 20, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Magdeburg win | 30% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Martijn Kaars · Magdeburg |
| 15' | ⚽ | Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 31' | 🟨 | Tim Rossmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 42' | ⚽ | Tim Rossmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 57' | 🟨 | Daniel Heber · Magdeburg |
| 61' | 🟨 | Andre Hoffmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 61' | 🟨 | Silas Gnaka · Magdeburg |
| 67' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 70' | ⚽ | Martijn Kaars · Magdeburg |
| 73' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 77' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 11 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| Tim Rossmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 77' | 🟥 | Tim Rossmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 87' | ⚽ | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Philipp Hercher · Magdeburg |
| coach days | 1053.00 | 1418.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.57 | 3.61 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1548.31 | 1441.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.40 | 3.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 44.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| league points | 26.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.87 | 1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |