← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 49% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.79 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 25% | 3.96 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Sergio López · Darmstadt |
| 33' | ⚽ | Killian Corredor · Darmstadt |
| 45' | ⚽ | Fraser Hornby · Darmstadt |
| 62' | 🟨 | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 62' | ⚽ | Luca Marseiler · Darmstadt |
| 72' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 73' | ⚽ | Fraser Hornby · Darmstadt |
| 84' | ⚽ | Daniel Hanslik · Kaiserslautern |
| 88' | ⚽ | Killian Corredor · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 11 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 104.00 | 166.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1477.69 | 1486.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.23 | 39.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.57 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| league points | 21.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.00 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 7.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.37 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| state index | 0.51 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |