← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Benen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 39% | 2.49 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| SC Paderborn 07 +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Laurin Curda · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 26' | 🟨 | Jean Hugonet · Magdeburg |
| 57' | ⚽ | Philipp Hercher · Magdeburg |
| 67' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 68' | 🟨 | Dominik Reimann · Magdeburg |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | Raphael Obermair · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 73' | 🟨 | Connor Krempicki · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Philipp Hercher · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 0.20 |
| venue | Avnet Arena |
| coach days | 1412.00 | 1262.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.83 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1440.28 | 1536.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.70 | 19.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| league points | 25.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 6.69 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |