← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Dec 13, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Prigan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 66% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.77 |
| Regensburg win | 13% | 7.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −1.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Karlsruhe −1.25 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.65 |
| Under | 41% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Christian Kühlwetter · Regensburg |
| 45' | ⚽ | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
| 49' | ⚽ | Eric Hottmann · Regensburg |
| 55' | 🟨 | Rasim Bulić · Regensburg |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 59' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 62' | ⚽ | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
| 68' | 🟨 | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 74' | 🟨 | Luca Pfeiffer · Karlsruhe |
| 80' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| 86' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| coach days | 1777.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1511.32 | 1290.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.53 | 10.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| league points | 26.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 34.60 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | — |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | -1.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.60 | -0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -1.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |