← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 7, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Karlsruhe win | 37% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Karlsruhe +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ (pen) | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 40' | 🟨 | Jan Elvedi · Kaiserslautern |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daisuke Yokota · Kaiserslautern |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
| 56' | 🟨 | Frank Ronstadt · Kaiserslautern |
| 73' | ⚽ | Kenny Prince Redondo · Kaiserslautern |
| 75' | ⚽ | Jannis Heuer · Kaiserslautern |
| 82' | 🟨 | Florian Kleinhansl · Kaiserslautern |
| 87' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 88' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| coach days | 159.00 | 1771.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1471.25 | 1526.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.16 | -44.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.94 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| league points | 23.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |