← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 7, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Haslberger
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 43% | 2.23 |
| Greuther Furth win | 31% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Greuther Furth +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Maza · Hertha |
| 38' | ⚽ | Noel Futkeu · Greuther Furth |
| 53' | 🟨 | Maximilian Dietz · Greuther Furth |
| 54' | 🟨 | Michaël Cuisance · Hertha |
| 55' | ⚽ | Noel Futkeu · Greuther Furth |
| 68' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 77' | 🟨 | Maximilian Dietz · Greuther Furth |
| 77' | 🟥 | Maximilian Dietz · Greuther Furth |
| 80' | 🟨 | Nahuel Noll · Greuther Furth |
| 88' | 🟨 | Márton Dárdai · Hertha |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 10 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 36.00 | 189.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1407.54 | 1476.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.95 | 13.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | 1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 47.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| league points | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 6.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.08 |
| state index | -0.93 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.86 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |