← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 30, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.01 |
| Regensburg win | 19% | 5.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Regensburg −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 31' | 🟨 | Leopold Wurm · Regensburg |
| 69' | 🟨 | Louis Breunig · Regensburg |
| 73' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Braunschweig |
| 85' | 🟨 | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabio Di Michele Sanchez · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 395.00 | 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1381.32 | 1291.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.02 | 1.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.52 |
| league points | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 36.00 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | — |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -1.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.22 | -1.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | -1.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |