← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Nov 29, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 28% | 3.49 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Kaiserslautern |
| 17' | 🟨 | Afeez Aremu · Kaiserslautern |
| 52' | ⚽ | Daniel Hanslik · Kaiserslautern |
| 58' | 🟨 | Filip Kaloč · Kaiserslautern |
| 59' | 🟨 | Taylan Bulut · FC Schalke 04 |
| 61' | ⚽ | Daisuke Yokota · Kaiserslautern |
| 79' | 🟨 | Kenny Prince Redondo · Kaiserslautern |
| 89' | 🟨 | Florian Kleinhansl · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 59.00 | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1428.96 | 1451.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.86 | 42.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | 0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| league points | 13.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.69 | — |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |