← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Nov 29, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Hempel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Hertha win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Hertha +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Jean Hugonet · Magdeburg |
| 23' | 🟨 | Tobias Müller · Magdeburg |
| 37' | 🟨 | Jonjoe Kenny · Hertha |
| 48' | ⚽ | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
| 55' | ⚽ | Derry Scherhant · Hertha |
| 56' | 🟨 | Deyovaisio Zeefuik · Hertha |
| 63' | 🟨 | Florian Niederlechner · Hertha |
| 65' | ⚽ | Florian Niederlechner · Hertha |
| 80' | 🟨 | Connor Krempicki · Magdeburg |
| 86' | ⚽ | Jan Luca Schuler · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Avnet Arena |
| coach days | 1397.00 | 181.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.16 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1444.72 | 1459.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.60 | 5.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | 1.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 47.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.58 |
| league points | 22.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.08 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |