← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 24, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 48% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Regensburg win | 26% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Magdeburg +0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Livan Burcu · Magdeburg |
| 10' | ⚽ | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
| 25' | 🟨 | Leopold Wurm · Regensburg |
| 48' | 🟨 | Samuel Loric · Magdeburg |
| 73' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 80' | 🟨 | Eric Hottmann · Regensburg |
| 82' | 🟨 | Nico Ochojski · Regensburg |
| 87' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · Magdeburg |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| coach days | 54.00 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| 1392.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 4.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1299.75 | 1436.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.21 | -26.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.80 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| league points | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 33.60 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 15.02 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.77 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.38 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.91 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.57 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |