← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 24, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Braunschweig win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Filip Kaloč · Kaiserslautern |
| 41' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Kaiserslautern |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
| 45' | ⚽ | Daniel Hanslik · Kaiserslautern |
| 46' | 🟨 | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
| 52' | 🟨 | Frank Ronstadt · Kaiserslautern |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jannis Nikolaou · Braunschweig |
| 56' | 🟨 | Leon Bell Bell · Braunschweig |
| 82' | 🟨 | Robert Ivanov · Braunschweig |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 146.00 | 389.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.35 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1445.14 | 1388.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.92 | 36.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.82 |
| league points | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 15.79 | 15.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | -0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -1.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |