← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Benen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Greuther Furth win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Karlsruhe +0.25 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under | 37% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 43' | 🟨 | Dennis Srbeny · Greuther Furth |
| 46' | ⚽ | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
| 73' | ⚽ | Bambasé Conté · Karlsruhe |
| 79' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 82' | 🟨 | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
| 83' | ⚽ | Sacha Banse · Greuther Furth |
| 85' | 🟨 | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Damian Michalski · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days |
| 22.00 |
| 1757.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1412.10 | 1535.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.29 | -30.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| league points | 14.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 12.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| state index | -1.09 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |