← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 10, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Schwengers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 60% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| Regensburg win | 17% | 5.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| FC Schalke 04 −1 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.63 |
| Under | 40% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
| 41' | 🟨 | Tobias Mohr · FC Schalke 04 |
| 51' | 🟨 | Kai Pröger · Regensburg |
| 53' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · FC Schalke 04 |
| 66' | 🟨 | Noah Ganaus · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rasim Bulić · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| coach days | 40.00 | 40.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1416.01 | 1308.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.72 | 4.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.67 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| league points | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 32.40 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | -1.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.69 | — |
| state index | -0.57 | -1.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | -1.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |