← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 9, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 46% | 2.07 |
| Hertha win | 30% | 3.34 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.98 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Hertha −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.45 |
| Under | 34% | 2.86 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Fynn Lakenmacher · Darmstadt |
| 21' | ⚽ | Florian Niederlechner · Hertha |
| 23' | 🟨 | Jonjoe Kenny · Hertha |
| 28' | 🟨 | Sergio López · Darmstadt |
| 37' | 🟨 | Kai Klefisch · Darmstadt |
| 44' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Maza · Hertha |
| 45' | ⚽ | Philipp Förster · Darmstadt |
| 50' | 🟨 | Fabian Nürnberger · Darmstadt |
| 52' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Vukotić · Darmstadt |
| 65' | ⚽ | Isac Lidberg · Darmstadt |
| 81' | ⚽ | Andreas Müller · Darmstadt |
| 87' | 🟨 | Michaël Cuisance · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 69.00 | 161.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.06 | 1.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1450.08 | 1474.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.25 | -23.32 |
| eye test v1 | 1.25 | 0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 48.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.63 |
| league points | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.08 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |