← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 3, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Magdeburg win | 33% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Samuel Loric · Magdeburg |
| 13' | ⚽ | Philipp Hercher · Magdeburg |
| 30' | 🟨 | Falko Michel · Magdeburg |
| 32' | ⚽ (pen) | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 36' | 🟨 | Falko Michel · Magdeburg |
| 36' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · Magdeburg |
| 36' | 🟥 | Falko Michel · Magdeburg |
| 51' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 52' | 🟨 | Martijn Kaars · Magdeburg |
| 68' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 22 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 90' | 🟨 | Martijn Kaars · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟥 | Martijn Kaars · Magdeburg |
| coach days | 125.00 | 1371.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 3.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1446.21 | 1435.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.06 | -15.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 47.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| league points | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 62.60 |
| rest days | 7.75 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 1.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |