← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 2, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Hertha win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Hertha +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Tim Lemperle · 1. FC Köln |
| 40' | 🟨 | Toni Leistner · Hertha |
| 58' | 🟨 | Márton Dárdai · Hertha |
| 62' | 🟨 | Michał Karbownik · Hertha |
| 72' | 🟨 | Julian Pauli · 1. FC Köln |
| 76' | 🟨 | Marvin Schwäbe · 1. FC Köln |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Olympiastadion Berlin |
| coach days | 154.00 | 124.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1485.33 | 1520.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.52 | -22.75 |
| eye test v1 | 1.64 | 1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -1.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.10 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| league points | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 7.35 | 8.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 7.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 25.08 | 25.50 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |