← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 2, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Hempel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
| Karlsruhe win | 26% | 3.89 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Hannover −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Enzo Leopold · Hannover |
| 38' | 🟨 | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcel Halstenberg · Hannover |
| 45' | ⚽ | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
| 50' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Karlsruhe |
| 66' | ⚽ | Jessic Ngankam · Hannover |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Marcel Halstenberg · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Monju Momuluh · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 855.00 | 1736.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1516.43 | 1548.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.01 | -18.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.87 | 0.67 |
| league points | 19.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |