← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Oct 25, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 63% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.69 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 17% | 6.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln −1 | 55% | 1.78 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −1 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 69% | 1.39 |
| Under | 31% | 3.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Ilyas Ansah · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 61' | 🟨 | Luis Engelns · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 62' | 🟨 | Dejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln |
| 66' | ⚽ | Jan Thielmann · 1. FC Köln |
| 68' | 🟨 | Santiago Castaneda · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 69' | 🟨 | Aaron Zehnter · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 76' | ⚽ | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 80' | ⚽ | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Köln | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | RheinEnergieSTADION |
| coach days | 116.00 | 1212.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1533.22 | 1510.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.22 | -3.32 |
| eye test v1 | 2.12 | 0.93 |
| eye trend v1 | -1.11 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.75 |
| league points | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 21.80 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 8.10 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 25.50 | — |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.05 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |