← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Oct 18, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Braunschweig win | 25% | 3.93 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Braunschweig −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Márton Dárdai · Hertha |
| 30' | 🟨 | Kevin Sessa · Hertha |
| 38' | ⚽ | Levente Szabó · Braunschweig |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kevin Ehlers · Braunschweig |
| 50' | 🟥 | Lennart Grill · Braunschweig |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Michaël Cuisance · Hertha |
| 60' | 🟨 | Smail Prevljak · Hertha |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Ibrahim Maza · Hertha |
| 78' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Maza · Hertha |
| 83' | ⚽ | Florian Niederlechner · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| venue | Olympiastadion Berlin |
| coach days | 139.00 | 352.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1454.52 | 1370.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.54 | 27.24 |
| eye test v1 | 1.26 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.55 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| league points | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 12.92 | 12.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.87 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.08 | — |
| state index | -0.84 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -1.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |