← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 6, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Schlager
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 43% | 2.29 |
| Braunschweig win | 30% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Hannover +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.84 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
| 20' | ⚽ | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
| 41' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ermin Bičakčić · Braunschweig |
| 65' | 🟨 | Phil Neumann · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sei Muroya · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ron-Robert Zieler · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 17 |
| 12 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 340.00 | 828.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1351.12 | 1510.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.24 | 13.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.51 | 0.81 |
| league points | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.57 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| state index | -0.71 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |